Nottingham Forest 1–0 Manchester United: Fast xG, xT & Player Ratings
Date: April 1, 2025
League: Premier League
Result: Nottingham Forest 1 – 0 Manchester United
Formations: Forest 4–2–3–1 | United 3–4–2–1
Match Time: 104 mins
Active Play: 62 mins
Key Takeaways
Manchester United created over 3.0 xG — but left with zero goals. Nottingham Forest defended deep, converted their only major chance, and pulled off a classic smash-and-grab.
Nottingham Forest Converted early with just 2 shots on target - and stayed disciplined.
Manchester United maintained pressure throughout (see xT/xG over time), but Nottingham Forest held firm.
Manchester United created 22 shots and flooded the box, but missed key chances.
Despite the loss, Manchester United players topped the performance ratings - Bruno Fernandes orchestrated well, but finishing and luck let them down.
xG Timeline: United’s chances stacked throughout, especially after the 60’ mark. Forest scored early and locked down.
The player is awarded a rating for each game based on how good the player's performance was compared to other players in the same position, with data from a magnitude of historical games.
Final Thoughts
Nottingham Forest pulled off a low-xG - absorbing pressure and converting early. United had control, creativity, and chances - but couldn’t break through. The data says one thing; the scoreboard says another.
